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 E-Mail IMAGE: Researchers model the spread of infection over a transmission network where contacts are divided into those occurring within a household (solid gray lines) vs. outside the house ( external contacts , dotted. view more  Credit: Nature Communications PHILADELPHIA - Renter protection policies that have curbed mass evictions during the COVID-19 pandemic have played a key role in preventing the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in U.S. cities, according to a new study published in Nature Communications. Using an epidemiological model to predict how evictions and eviction moratoria would impact the epidemic, the researchers found, for instance, that in a city of 1 million in which 1 percent of households experience eviction monthly, this could lead to up to 49,000 excess COVID-19 infections. In Philadelphia alone, a fivefold increase in evictions, predicted by some economic analyses, could lead to 53,000 extra infections. The study was led by researchers in the Perelm

University of pennsylvaniaUnited statesJustin sheenJulianna shinnickAlison hillMaria florencia tejedaJohns hopkins universityNature communicationsEpidemiology in penn perelman school of medicineUs national institutes of healthGoogle cloud researchJohns hopkins university school of medicinePerelman school of medicineAmerican communityPhiladelphia city councilUniversity of illinois at urbana champaign