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How COVID-19 Will Affect North Carolina in Months Ahead
New data and models offer additional insights into how COVID-19 will affect North Carolina in the coming months. The work includes an interactive platform that offers statewide or county-level projections of how changes in risk reduction efforts – such as mask use – and the increase in more infectious variants of COVID-19 could affect the spread of COVID in North Carolina.
While the platform looks at metrics such as infections, hospitalizations and deaths at the state level, the county-level models focus solely on infections.
The work stems from a complex model developed by researchers at North Carolina State University, the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Georgia Tech and East Carolina University. The model can help us understand the spread of COVID-19 and the factors, such as non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), that influence it. An earlier version of the model, which used data from Georgia
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