Yesterday, a headline said china planning to surprise trump and negotiators with a last minute plan for phase one to remove september tariffs this has never been talked about. Delaying future tariffs was the most we were going to agree on trump was getting traction because of the bite. This has never been on the table. China will get it done then i read it today it said these are now part of the negotiation. The way it was cast is that it was almost like an appeasement or throwing in the hand. Is it negotiations or are we backing down the deal is likely to get done each side wants to say we got what we wanted now, if that happens, the markets will be like that. Thats the big question, does the market care if it comes without any teeth. Do they just want a truce and no more ramped up sort. For phase one, do they want to give up what they were working to force them out of the table. I think what the market is really looking foreGoing Forward is if you are going to continue conversations.
Downgrading most advanced economies. You can see right there, these numbers 3 for the world, 2. 4 for the u. S. , 1. 2 for your area, 6. 1 for china. These are all down you see there from the prior forecast and also mostly except for japan down from last year. The imf saying in its report, Downside Risks elevated. Brexit related risk to hinder confidence and growth. Theyre down on this trade issue. Very quickly, they do see something of a moderation next here in 2020 we go back up to 3. 4 it isnt the advanced economies this get there theyre looking for a turn around in emerging markets and developing countries four things the imf notes needs to be done theyre saying International Response may be needed if things get worse from here. They say Monetary Policy cannot do it all. There is a financial risk created from low Interest Rates there. Fiscal measures to help with the slowdown along with structural reforms. Carl that is big news, steve were going to dissect a lot of that with the ea
It was some of the regulation that inhibited the development of real Capital Markets. That is in the interest of the european people, wider Capital Market system. Regulators work with governments, whoever, to say lets develop a regulatory system that is the best, not just more. Dont look at changing something is always being a negative. It could be a Huge Positive for the public good. James, let me give you a different twist. Policy donetary we have the right regulatory structure in place to ensure that is something pops, it will not have the kind of affects it had in the past . You always have a risk of bubbles. Fear and greed, the bull in a bear instinct. You are always providing opportunity for a bubble at some point. Based upon what we see certainly in the banking or, its very low. Just on the regulation point, we have been living with this from crisis times. What the regulators did was absolutely necessary and the right thing to do. Banks were over levered, operating with anywhere
Year can it keep rolling on mad moneys jim cramer is with us for the hour the Halftime Report starts right now. It is great to have you with us on this monday. Our Investment Committee today, joe terranova,ster know, and jon najarian and cnbcs jim cramer, host of mad money. Always great to have jim on the desk earnings economy and Rate Decision front and center and President Trump firing off on the fed once again tweeting that the fed raised rates too early and too often and said a small cut isnt enough meanwhile janet yellen giving her thumbs up for a cut. Although the u. S. Is doing well, i would be focused on wanting to keep it doing well, to keep the expansion on track, and i think in light of the risks, i would be inclined to cut a bit. I wouldnt see this as the beginning unless things change, of a major easing cycle. Cnbcs senior economics reporter Steve Liesman is here as well to give us his two cents and much more, i hope. Its a foregone conclusion in terms of what the fed will
That era would have been impactful. He was the guy who put their ideas into steve jobs pushing him through to make them products now at a point their products are less revolutionary and more evolutionary i know a servicedriven model less about every year some really slickly designed new hardware device. Five years ago the stock would have been down 5 on this news i think youll see a sort of muted reaction. Youre seeing it down only around is which i guess is surprising what im concerned about apple they would be some trade war dynamic but a competitor around 600,000 does that a iphone could do. The other part of this would be app store and do people need to go to the app store and talking about that Services Revenue to what extent are there alternatives out there if anything apple has been on a regulatory pressure for that very dynamic those are the things that have me the most worried. Dan pointed out no evolution under jony ive the last number of years and evolution people are talkin