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Inflation And Federal Reserve Scare Bonds In Q1 – InsuranceNewsNet

We don't think this is as much the market front-running the Federal Reserve as it is a reversion to the mean after COVID. The low in the 10- year bond yield intraday was 0.3 in March 2020, and the lowest end-of-day yield was 0.5 in August 2020. The sharp uptick in yields has been a response to both the uptick in inflation and the Federal Reserve beginning to raise. ....

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Weakness pervades for municipal bonds

Without a reversal in UST or municipal bond mutual fund outflows, munis will continue to be pressured. ....

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FOMC roils UST and equities while munis sit tight

ICI reported $1.101 billion of inflows into municipal bond mutual funds for the last week of 2021. Refinitiv Lipper figures on Thursday may give a sense of investor sentiment for week one of 2022. ....

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Population Growth Is Slowing. Why that Matters for the U.S. Economy

mfr.com
Dec. 28: Friday, Jan. 8, delivers the December employment report, along with November wholesale inventories and November consumer credit. The jobs data are tougher than usual to predict, with complicating factors including sizeable holiday-related seasonal adjustment that may distort outcomes, as patterns are anything but normal at the moment. Other tough-to-assess factors include the degree of pandemic-related softness in the service sector, and the speed at which underlying gains are slowing as the initial post-lockdown bounce fades.
With those caveats in mind, expectations concerning December nonfarm payrolls are widely scattered (the overall range is currently -175K to +200K), with very early medians of roughly +60K for the total and +75K for private payrolls. The unemployment rate is seen remaining near the previous 6.7%, the average workweek is generally expected to remain at 34.8 hours, and the median forecast for average hourly earnings is for a 0.2% month- ....

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