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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240711

Tom good morning, everyone. Bloomberg surveillance. And keep her being with us on Bloomberg Radio and bloomberg television. Thisan important our is an important hour. Will join us later, carmen and Vincent Reinhart. Morning,at we see this the only thing that matters. Dollar out to new weakness. Jonathan dxy taking out the lows of early september. That is the dollar index, heavily weighted towards this goal currency. The eurodollar nicely through 1. 19. Another monday with a cyclical tilt. Small caps outperform big tech, largely off of some positive vaccine news. Haddownside surprises weve in the Economic Data over the last week, we need to Pay Attention to that. Im excited to hear what david has to say about that. Tom lets frame that right now. I look at the 55year forwards. The answer is ive got disinflation in the united kingdom, a little bit of a rolling over of disinflation trend in the united states, and is some noland right now. Kind of the wrong upside surprise. That is the labo

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

14 days to the election. It is a tuesday october. Obviously. Lettingpreme Court Pennsylvania go after that election to count ballots. Weve got lots of politics to talk about, and extort an area markets after the drop yesterday that we saw. How much do you think link yesterdays 700 point down drop to stimulus . Jonathan not me, but i think other people might make that link. I think if you want to make that inconsistency an because treasury yields climbed. If you think all of this stimulus was going to drive yields higher, then stimulus talks pulling apart would mean lower yields, higher yields. I think the temptation is to take every single piece of price action and draw a line back down to d. C. From wall street. Israelcretary mnuchin in for the important siding of the united arab emirates, israel, and United States of america. He will have a call with pelosi. Pelosi is going to be briefed by westin later on bloomberg. Lisa i am trying to understand Mitch Mcconnells role in all of this

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Surveillance 20240712

History in the United Kingdom as they extend the pandemic watch out to march of 2021. Jon ferro, theres no other headline for me this morning. All of us dealing with this pandemic, and Boris Johnson sets us a new timeline. Jonathan jonathan new restrictions on the u. K. Economy being announced today. We will hear from the Prime Minister addressing the nation at 8 00 p. M. Local time. Those restrictions could last a solid six months. Lets get straight to the price action to give people a feel of how things have turned around in the last 30 minutes or so. Equity futures were positive, now slightly negative. In the fx market, the pound was positive. It is now slightly negative. In the bond market, yields were up by almost a basis point. 0. 67 . Y are unchanged at it is a subtle shift, but a reminder of the difficult moment we have ahead of us as we go deeper into the end of the year. Tom so much going on here. We welcome all of you on Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio across americ

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Balance Of Power 20240713

Those are leading the gains today and recovering at the peak now 35 or so40 , from those record highs. David now we have an announcement that the fed is including their money Market Facility to include muni debt. Taylor this is interesting. There was a lot of talk on there. The muni market in general is much more illiquid than the rest of the market. Not surprising to see that in a week like we just had, with stress showing up even more and more. Muni traders continue to say there are some shortterm issues , but theres a lot of issues going on on the long end. I believe in previous laws, the fed could buy these up to six months. This expands it to longer dated maturities. We are getting a lot of that illiquidity on the tens and on that yield curve. Also, they had record outflows, according to as of yesterday. I would imagine this gives a little bit of some confidence to some money market facilities to also include muni debt. David what about all this talk about bailouts . There are neg

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Transcripts For BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Balance Of Power 20240713

Up at a pro forma session and talk about this . What are we expecting . Will he give her ground . Anna probably not. The Senate Opening for a pro forma session. The majority leader will be here. We expect him to speak on the floor. He will probably criticize democrats, especially noting House Democrats have said they had to push this impeachment process through last year because President Trump is such a threat to the 2020 election that he was continuously interfering in what is going to be the next president ial election. They had to do this quickly. Now that they are delaying these articles, it goes against the point they were trying to make. David over the break we had a second senator showing they did not like how this was handled. We had Susan Collins joining lisa murkowski. Is that showing a shift . Anna those of the republican senators we would expect to at least show some independence. Their complaint was they were concerned about the impartiality of their colleagues. Mitch mcc

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