Starting to take hold with wages and employment. I think the market is waking up to the fact that the plan that the fed put in place is actually probably justified. We have more policy uncertainty, which can naturally lead to more economic uncertainty, which will lead to more market uncertainty and that will end up with more volatility. Im going to argue it is not really done. These things take time. Its hard to have such a dislocating move without leaving all kinds of wreckage around that you are not expecting. If the stock market is pricing in lower longterm yield, that could lead into higher evaluation. I dont see a financial crisis on the horizon, but we are paying close attention to it. I think this is more qe unwind getting priced in. The ecb was buying, and the boj was buying. The fed tapering was not a big deal because of that. While that is unwinding, the entire market is realizing that this vol from cute he is stepping away and we have to get ready for more vol. Jon get ready
The market is finally catching up with fed expectations. I think the labor market is starting to take hold with wages and employment. I think the market is waking up to the fact that the plan that the fed put in place, is actually probably justified. We have more policy uncertainty, which can naturally lead to more economic uncertainty, which will lead to more market uncertainty and that will end up with more volatility. Im going to argue it is not really done. These things take time. Its hard to have such a dislocating move without leaving all kinds of wreckage around that you are not expecting. If the stock market is pricing in lower longterm yield, that could lead into higher evaluation. I dont see a financial crisis on the horizon, but we are paying close attention to it. I think this is more qe unwind getting priced in. The ecb was buying, and the boj was buying. The fed tapering was not a big deal because of that. While that is unwinding, the entire market is realizing that this
We have more policy uncertainty, which can naturally lead to more economic uncertainty, which will lead to more market uncertainty and that will end up with more volatility. Im going to argue it is not really done. These things take time. Its hard to have such a dislocating move without leaving all kinds of wreckage around that you are not expecting. If the stock market is pricing in lower longterm yield, that could lead into higher evaluation. I dont see a financial crisis on the horizon, but we are paying close attention to it. I think this is more qe unwind getting priced in. The ecb was buying, and the boj was buying. The fed tapering was not a big deal because of that. While that is unwinding, the entire market is realizing that this vol from cute he is stepping away and we have to get ready for more vol. Jon get ready for more vol. Around the table, greg peters of pgim fixed income, Bonnie Wongtrakool from western Asset Management as portfolio manager. Coming to us from atlanta o
Im a total loser. Im with you. You are with me i didnt mean it with me. Sounded just like you did lets look at futures, of course speaking of exciting, our markets have been exciting lately a higher open this morning after that turnaround yesterday, european markets and well answer and assume well have spain and italy in there there they are all down this morning. Spain the worst performer of those european markets the 10year note yield was a concern. The budget deal exacerbated concerns about a growing deficit. Will we be able to finance it without rates moving higher . Whats the feds role going to be there you see it 2. 866 is the current number. Lets get to the road map. It starts with the stock market seeking stability after those recent very volatile days. A higher after being in the red for most of the morning. Twitter shares are up more than 25 right now in the premarket the social Media Company reporting its first ever net gaap. They didnt fall into the gap any soared into the
The rise in inflation we heard about this morning the Consumer Price index, cpi, up from a month before meaning grosh groceries to gasoline are more expensive, transportation to retail to restaurants, we have the impact in a moment, but, first, lets get to bob pasani and talk about the surge for stocks, bob, what happened what whang changed . Look at the vix, it was down even this morning when the markets were down prior to the open on concerns about the cpi better than expected all the people who panicked had to unwind with the option explorations telling you they are not as worried about volatility in the next 30 days as what the vix measures, a good sign traders believe theres less panic in the market. Number one number two, look at the groups moving yes, inflation is a concern, but rates move up, banks outperformed here today, outperforming again. We see Interest Rate stocks sell off, and that happened in january, going into february as well, so, again today, utilities are down, at