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The biggest risk to markets is if the U.S. avoids a recession, strategist warns

Investec's Roger Lee says that if a U.S. recession doesn't materialize, highly valued stocks could fall. Here's how he would position for it. ....

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ANALYSIS-Fed pause before European peers to lift Treasuries, European stocks

They also expect smaller lenders in the United States, at the heart of the banking turmoil, will have a bigger impact on the U.S. economy, raising recession risks in the world's largest economy. So while traders price in a swift end to Fed hikes, seeing just under a 50% chance of a 25 bps move in May, followed by rate cuts, further tightening is anticipated in Europe. ....

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