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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 4, 2024

Right now. We will have analysis with tim fiore. Im alix steel with my cohost guy johnson. Welcome to bloomberg markets. Guy the ism hitting a bottom. The jolts number comes in shy. Mike mckee joins us to break down the numbers. What do you see in front of you. Guy jay powell mike it is down from the forecast. That is a little bit better improvement in terms of jolts. The ism number comes in at 46. 4. Not as good as the 46. 9 people thought. Prices paid at 2. 46. Employment is also down. New orders for ism. Maybe you are right. Maybe we see a bottoming out for the numbers but in terms of the ism, certainly, not anything that screams good news. Back to the jolts. Hires decreased as well as the number of job openings. Hires fall by 326,000. The quit rate is at 2. 4 . That comes down from 2. 6 . A little bit more good news for the fed which will see this as the labor market loosening up. Alix great breakdown. The market where you are seeing a
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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg July 3, 2024

By 0. 2 percent on the s p 500 following the biggest we of gains on the s p. Happy talk begins in september with goldman cutting the recession chances to 15 after week of decent data to keep this fed on the sidelines. Jonathan Good Research over the weekend and goldman leads the way with that lesser call on recession. It buttresses against a china basically in policy chaos. To the global town, im unsure of where we go other than Jerome Powell has a spirited leadership on Economic Growth. Jonathan later, as good as it gets. Tom hes still bullish. It is as good as it gets in the nuance here is that we peel away and maybe we get lesser and then he goes to a soft landing but i dont know what that means. Soft landing bramo comes back from her sabbatical. Jonathan she returns less bearish from vacation. Lisa first of all, nobod ....

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