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Principals, i think people see how long they are. the one lagging indicator about donald trump are how the pundits are counting him out. he overperforms at the ballot box. saying the race is over before people cast their votes is elitist. i will grant your point. we put up on the screen the road to 270. you think there is a lot of passion out there that pops up and maybe he is not evident. fair enough. he is making a charge about the indicators that we do have. when he said the polls are rigged and the media is rigging the polls. i want to put it up on the screen. if you look at every media outlet that is out there, can we put this up on the screen where they have the race. ....
reporter: let me just a warning the way in my experience on exit polling is the more enthusiastic group, the more excited voting group, the more anger, sort of the more angrier even sometimes when it s smaller will sometimes overperform. so what did we notice? for instance, you had in the scott walker situation, the anti-walker vote. that was a more fired-up base, so they were gung ho to get to the polls even though there wasn t enough of them. and they overperformed, if you will, in the exit poll. we saw that with obama. we saw that with john kerry in 2004. i think here s the thing. i wouldn t be surprised if romney is overdone a little bit in the exit poll. if he overperforms with the real vote is because don t forget election-day voters are going to be more republican than democrat because democrats have done so much of the early vote. and we compensate for it. we do our best to survey it and ....
Learn about this, rachel, one is gingrich s strength in the panhandle area, including jacksonville, should give us a clue about where he stands, say, if super tuesday in march came along and all those southern primaries showed up, what kind of strength would gingrich have at that point in time, say if nothing changed between now and then and then watching romney s margins in these other parts will tell us a little bit, for instance, if he overperforms in the southwest part of florida he should do well in some of these midwest primaries, places like illinois, where there is a conservative voter there but they call themselves say somewhat conservative rather than very conservative. so, that s the strength we expect, orlando, south florida for romney, the parts for gingrich, clearly north florida, jacksonville, how close will jacksonville be? jacksonville, when romney was the conservative candidate four years ago, he won jacksonville. it should go to the conservative again, but what will ....
Time with evangelicals because of his mormon faith or other reasons. these numbers seem to suggest otherwise. they do, anderson. i think we need to await further polling because it s going to look a lot different after new hampshire. anderson, this is a state where four years ago, mitt romney only got 11% of evangelical vote. it s going to be between 55 and 60% of the vote. if he overperforms, as this survey indicates, it will be very difficult to stop him, indeed. it could be over with south carolina as far as these i mean, if rick santorum or newt gingrich or perry can t do well among evangelicals in south carolina, there s very little future for them. well, i think two things are going on. number one, the field is very crowded. here you re going to have, for lack of a better term, the more conservative vote divided, if things hold, between perry, gingrich, santorum and ron paul. that s the best news possible for mitt romney. but i would add a word of caution, and that is tha ....
Romney is going to have a hard time because of his mormon faith or other reasons. these numbers seem to suggest otherwise. they do, anderson. i think we need to await further polling because it s going to look a lot different after new hampshire. anderson, this is a state where four years ago mitt romney only got 11% of evangelical vote. it s going to be between 55 and 60% of the vote. if he overperforms, as this survey indicates, it will be very difficult to stop him, indeed. it could be over with south carolina as far as these i mean, if rick santorum or newt gingrich or perry can t do well among evangelicals in south carolina, there s very little future for them. well, i think two things are going on. number one, the field is very crowded. here you re going to have, for lack of a better term, the more conservative vote divided if things hold between perry, gingrich, santorum and ron paul. that s the best news possible ....