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Obviously, the metro versus rural splits is number two. Im not sure were asking this tonight, but im sort of interested in the firsttime caucusgoer. The trump people have been putting a lot of stock into their firsttime caucusgoer recruitment. Though they dont have a long demonstrable history of showing up at the caucus, obviously, trumps people tend to be the most enthusiastic. Id like to see if they brave the Weather Tonight and turn out. And the final thing really is just the margin. Does donald Trump Match what the polling says he ought to do . Does Ron Desantis outkick his coverage . Does Nikki Haleys Dependence upon democrats and independents cause her to fall short . All of those things will play into the margins, and well have a big to do about how we v ....