Claims rising back above 1 million. The fed voicing concern of its own about pace and state of the recovery josh, brown, the question today is how long, how long can stocks continue to outrun the economy well, i would argue that stocks have been out juning the economy since 2009 we clearly had an economic recovery that had been accelerated in recent years the longer it went on, but it hasnt come close to what the top 10 of american households by wealth have enjoyed by virtue of being in stocks and real estate as investment how long can that go on for . Its been going on for more than a decade if anything, you can make the argument that the pandemic has done nothing other than accelerate that trend. Its not a great thing to be hold the stocks that continue to work, anything tech, almost anything tech, anything work from home. Take a look at zoom. Were not even talking about it anymore. Its almost like its a given. Then you have this contingent of companies that have adapted themselves t
Earnings we start off with the one chart in the market that seems to be getting no attention check out the xrt, the retail etf up 12 this year the xrt taking another leg higher today on the back of a strong retail report is this retail recovery for real and if so, how are you playing it brian kelly, kick us off. I think theres a couple Different Things yes, there is a retail resurgence i think a lot of it had to do with the stimulus, but a lot of it had to do with a change in the way people are working the top five to ten holdings are heavy ecommerce, overstock, etsy, wayfare. Be careful what youre talking about in extrapolating this to mall based retailers i think mall based retailers are going out of business. This is the new wave of commerce its ecommerce. I do think that continues. The caveat is it would only get stim stimulus and people dont have that 600 check dor, do we get stalling in this do we get a stalling with walmart . Maybe theyre not as exposed to the stimulus check sin
He c. E. O. Of verizon, Hans Vestberg as we proceed throughout the hour. Francine european economies are starting to claw their way out of recession and we had encouraging p. P. I. Physician and the confident p. M. I. Jumped to 54. 8 with the services and manufacturing sectors expanding. Joining us now from paris is william, the Bnp Paribas Group chief economist. It feels like this was a good week for europe. We have the p. M. I. More than expected and the Recovery Fund. If you look at job losses theyre going to get ugly in europe. William that is a concern i have if you look at the p. M. I. Data today. What strike is that yes, manufacturing significantly and new export levels in germany are just flying but the employment series is showing that companies are under no intention whatsoever to increase hiring and on the contrary. Thats a concern. Its a concern because the recovery will depend on what households do, how much they spend and they need confidence. Alix what is going to give t
Three months 9 million jobs added after losing 22 million in march and april. Right my fear is that this may make it so that the negotiators for the package drag things out because things are better than expected so it looks like you could make a case lets be more considerate about this that would be bad because this number does not include a lot of reclosing, the biggest increase line item was bars bars and restaurants and we know that that backfired. So i intend to i think that its really important to keep the fire to the feet of these Congress People because, boy, i just dont think i think this is the last good one bloomberg is going with the headline that says the talks last night were rancorous and really no signs brink of collapse is one of the headlines out of bloomberg. Yeah. You dont think that the strength of jobs number today, jim, gives the democrats any incentive to blink ive been debating that all morning and i think that you heard you heard Speaker Pelosi on our show tha
Oil, 41. 40 we talked for a long time about mike pences hawkish speech on china from a year or two ago but pompeo yesterday oneupped that and this consulate news from china is weighing on sentiment too. Yeah, he upped the ante jim did focus us at the time on Vice President pences speech because it was quite truck lant would be a word to describe it at the time but it continues to go up in terms of the tensions, carl weve talked about it pretty much every day, whether its a backandforth over huawei, whether it has to do with conversations about closing down the app tiktok in the United States, whether it is the closing of consulates here and the response from the chinese. This is not going in a direction that many, who at least are invested in the idea of global trade, certainly, mike, would wanting to see. For sure. On the one hand the market is not necessarily overly focused to this point on these relationships and not really counting on anything to come out of it. Its not quite like