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predicting the future...


 
Predicting the future has been a pass-time for offals of birds readers, Christians, Nostradamuses, “intelligence agencies” and super-computers. Every time a new prediction is made with more “precision”, someone goes on the barricade and shouts that the sea level rise rise predicted for 2100 won’t be as bad, because new calculations show the previous estimate to be 25 per cent over the new recalibrated predictions. Hurrah!, claims an article in RT, “F ck Climate Crisis” is the picture used to demonstrate how wrong “we’ve been so far”…
 
So, instead of drowning in 2100, your city by the sea will become totally submerged, only by 2150. Hurrah! Meanwhile the same experts from Utrecht University told us that 2035 will be a turning point as well… (https://www.uu.nl/en/news/deadline-for-climate-action-act-decisively-bef.) ....

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What will the Middle East look like in 2030? An Israeli Perspective


I. Understanding Analytical Tools for Thinking About the Futures
The further one seeks to gaze into the future, the less useful forecast techniques become. The forecast aims at “calculating or predicting (some future event or condition) usually as a result of study and analysis of available pertinent data.”
2 But the distant future is hardly a singular event. Rather, it is a landscape created through a combination of change and continuity, and so there is a high probability of departing from at least some currently dominant trends. Accelerating changes in recent years, including massive increases in the amount, variety, and tempo of information available, the rate of technological advances, climate change, and the interconnectivity and interdependencies between distant geographical locations further increase the level of uncertainty regarding the future. ....

United States , Us National Intelligence Council , Royal Dutch Shell , Israel Institute For National Security , Global Business Network , Understanding Analytical Tools , Thinking About , National Security Studies , Middle East , Global Future , Intelligence Council , Latin America , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , எங்களுக்கு தேசிய உளவுத்துறை சபை , அரச டச்சு ஷெல் , இஸ்ரேல் நிறுவனம் க்கு தேசிய பாதுகாப்பு , உலகளாவிய வணிக வலைப்பின்னல் , புரிதல் பகுப்பாய்வு கருவிகள் , தேசிய பாதுகாப்பு ஆய்வுகள் , நடுத்தர கிழக்கு , உலகளாவிய எதிர்கால , உளவுத்துறை சபை , லத்தீன் அமெரிக்கா ,