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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

A bit of a mixed bag. Employment growth decelerating. It is consistent with some slowing. The economy is slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. We are slowly pressing on the brake here. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Definitely falling off a cliff. The market is not doing anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed rate cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Jonathan joining me around the table to discuss in new york are our guests, oksana aranov, lisa hornby, and Gershon Distenfeld. Guys, i want to begin with what changed this week for all three of you. Did anything change for you, oksana, this week, given the data we had . Oksana nothing has really changed on the economic backdrop. We di ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

Is decelerating. It is consistent with some slowing. The economy is slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. We are slowly pressing on the break here. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not like a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Definitely not falling off a cliff. Not enough to do anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Jonathan joining me around the table to discuss here in new york are our guests, oksana aranov, lisa hornby, and Gershon Distenfeld. I want to begin with what changed this week for all three of you. Did anything change for you, oksana, given the data we had . Oksana nothing has really changed on the economic backdrop. We did have some weak ism number there, but an ontrack jo ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

Report. A bit of a mixed bag. It is consistent with some slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pays. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Not falling off a cliff. Not much of anything to me. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a rate cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Around theoining me table to discuss in a new york are our guests. I want to discuss what changed this week. Nothing has really changed on the economic backdrop. Did have some week numbers there, but an on track jobs number and an upward revision for august. We have been on this trend for a while, where revisions have been up. It is a weird environment where we are in, where an employment continues to be strong, and the probability of a fed cut winds down slightly, from around 90 to 75 or so. The fed ....

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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

It is consistent with some slowing. The economy is slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. We are slowly pressing on the break here. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not like a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Definitely not falling off a cliff. Not enough to do anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Jonathan joining me around the table to discuss here in new york are our guests, oksana aranov, lisa hornby, and Gershon Distenfeld. I want to begin with what changed this week for all three of you. Did anything change for you, oksana, given the data we had . Oksana nothing has really changed on the economic backdrop. We did have some weak ism number there, but an ontrack jobs number and an ....

New York , United States , Mohamed El Erian , Lisa Hornby , Lisa Hornsby , Jay Powell , Everything Else , Service Number , Many People , Trump Presidency , Big Issue , Consumer Sentiment , Consumer Sentiment Index , Sentiment Index , Business Confidence , Retail Sales , Consumer Confidence , Bond Market , Front End , Monetary Policy , Kitchen Sink , Bring Back , Interest Rate , Interest Rate Risk , Auction Block , Fourth Quarter ,

BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Real Yield July 13, 2024

Employment growth decelerating. It is consistent with some slowing. The manufacturing slowdown is continuing. But it is happening at a very gradual pace. Pressing on the break. It is not a falling out of bed moment. It is not a flashing red, the economy is falling off a cliff number to me. Not falling off a cliff. Not enough to do anything. The market is priced in for an october rate cut. We have to pencil in a fed rate cut in october. For those looking for a decisive message, a deterministic one, they did not get it. Jonathan joining me around the table to discuss in new york are our guests, oksana aranov, lisa hornby, and Gershon Distenfeld. I want to begin with what changed this week for all three of you. Did anything change this week given the data we had . Oksana nothing has really changed on the economic backdrop. We did have some weak numbers there, but an ontrack jobs number and an upward revision for august. We have b ....

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