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拜登经济政策半年考:经济与通胀齐涨,房地产市场狂热 - 未名空间(mitbbs.com)


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戴卓鸣指出,创新是主导美国未来最重要的因素,因为它会深刻地影响到美国经济的变化,而美国和中国又是世界两大经济增长引擎,通过新技术的创新是一个最大的对经济增长的推动因素。产品和服务是美国的第二波创新,第三波会涉及到教育、医疗、气候变化;人口因素方面,戴卓鸣称,最大的问题还是移民。由于美国人口自然增长率很低,只有0.9%,而目前美国的人口增长率为2%,中间的差就是移民的数量。所以未来美国需要通过移民才能不断地更新人口,而这是一个政治上的决定,如果说未来要是的人口增长可持续性,美国仍然需要放开移民政策。
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