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European banks loan loss provisions set to decline in 2021 after 2020 peak

Blog Blog Blog Blog 12 Apr, 2021 Author Vanya DamyanovaRehan Ahmad Loan loss provisions at major European banks should record a moderate decline in 2021 after peaking in the immediate aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020, but are not likely to drop below pre-pandemic levels before 2022, credit rating analysts said. A key factor affecting provision levels as economies recover will be the withdrawal of government and bank support schemes that bridged the short-term liquidity of pandemic-impacted borrowers, according to analysts at S&P Global Ratings, Fitch Ratings and DBRS Morningstar. As the schemes are wound down, credit loss provision levels may fluctuate as banks cope with an increase in bad loans.

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