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The return of the Queen - MarketPulse

The return of the Queen
January 14, 2021SharePrint
The Trump impeachment vote was overshadowed by momentous scenes at 0530 this morning in South Jakarta, as Queen Cricket returned to her palace. The unannounced royal trip, lasting two nights, led to frantic searches of the wider realm by her servants. Her feline highness announced her arrival loudly at the front door of the palace in the early hours.
In other news, financial markets diverged once again overnight. US equities traced out a modestly positive day with technology outperforming as usual. US yields fell overnight after an excellent bid to cover ratio for the 30-year bond auction overnight. That appeared to assuage inflationista’s after US inflation printed right on expectations at 1.40%. Interestingly, the US dollar rose overnight, perhaps buoyed by bond inflows after a very heavy issuance by the US Treasury this week. That pushed gold slightly lower and sparked some profit-taking in oil. ....

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The dollar's rise resumes - MarketPulse

January 14, 2021SharePrint
Dovish Fed Governors cap dollar’s gains
A plethora of Federal Reserve Governors, notably Harker, Brainard and Clarida, along with some successful bond auctions, managed to cap the rise in US yields overnight, with the 10-year now over ten basis points off its recent highs. Harker said that the Fed would basically keep rates lower for longer. Brainard, always an uber-dove, said much the same and added that the Fed could increase bond purchases if necessary. Clarida noted that when the Fed does raise rates, they will only have to raise them slightly to reach a neutral policy stance. He added that the Fed would like to see one year of two per cent inflation before tightening. Despite the dovish chorus emanating from the Fed, the dollar finished the overnight session stronger. The dollar index rose 0.30% to 90.35 and has climbed to 90.40 this morning. That leaves the index mid-range with critical levels being 90.00 and 91.00. ....

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