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Peter Schiff: The Federal Reserve Is Basically Just A Big PR Firm


Most people view the Federal Reserve as an important policying-making body driving the economy. But in this clip from an interview with Jay Matin at Cambridge House, Peter Schiff says the Fed’s primary role is that of a marketing firm selling the populace on bad economics and trying to convince everybody that everything is great.
Peter said he thinks a large part of the Fed’s job today is public relations and spin.
To try to create a false sense of confidence in the US economy and the US dollar.”
Peter referenced an interview he saw with former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. The interviewer played clips of Bernanke back in 2005 and 2006 as he claimed everything was great and there was nothing to worry about. Bernanke said there was no housing bubble and any problems in the subprime mortgage market were contained. The interviewer asked Bernanke how it felt to be so wrong. ....

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The Bull Market Is On Shaky Ground


Allocations to stocks and commodities are the highest since February 2011.
The point here, of course, is that when everyone is 
“in the pool,” it doesn’t take much to create a reversion.
The Value Trade Is No Longer A Value
Such is what we begin to see last week, as the previous favorite 
“momentum” trades were swapped in a massive rotation to 
“value.” Given the massively overbought extremes in the 
“value” plays, that rotation is likely going to be akin to 
“jumping from the frying pan into the fire.”
Small-cap value is more extended currently than at any point over the last 20-years using weekly data. With the index well into 3-standard deviation territory, extremely deviated from long-term means, and grossly overvalued, the eventual reversion will be brutal. ....

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The Only Reason To Be "Bearish" Is "No One Is Bearish" – Investment Watch


It is indeed hard to argue the point. As the article explained:

A majority of investors finally agree the V-shaped recovery is at play,” according to the Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey. 
Plus, a record percentage of money managers believe that global growth is at an all-time high.”
Key Findings
More than 90% of investors believe the economy will be more robust in 2021, with a consensus it’s a V-shape recovery. For the first time since January 2020, chief investment officers want to increase capital spending rather than improve balance sheets.
Fund managers’ allocation to cash is down to 3.8%, the lowest since March 2013. Such was just before the “taper tantrum” era under former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. ....

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Investors bet big on cyclicals as economic recovery gathers pace | Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide


Investors bet big on cyclicals as economic recovery gathers pace
After playing safe during the initial phase of the pandemic in 2020 and sticking to defensive plays such as pharmaceuticals, fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) and information technology (IT), investors are now betting big on cyclical recovery after a sharp economic contraction with most of the related stocks doing well at the bourses.
Till June-July, defensive sectors like pharma and FMCG were leaders, followed by IT, as investors wanted to play safe given the uncertainty around the pandemic, its impact on the economy and fortunes of India Inc, analysts say. From August – September, cyclicals like auto and banking & financials picked up pace. Post budget, infrastructure, industrials, and stocks of public sector undertakings (PSUs) have rallied. ....

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