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Maximising the user value of statistics: lessons from globalisation and the pandemic Speech by Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at the European Statistical Forum (virtual) 26 April 2021 Economic and financial statistics play a central role in guiding monetary policy decisions: central banks constitute an important user group for the output of statistical agencies, while also helping to collect the data underpinning many macro-financial statistical series. Events such as the European Statistical Forum provide a welcome opportunity to bring together the producers and users of statistics. In my remarks today, I will discuss two main topics: the first topic is the globalisation-related measurement challenges for macroeconomic statistics, with a focus on external and national accounts; the second topic is the data needs exposed by the pandemic crisis. ....
Posted 5 hours agoSharePrint Wall Street could see more volatility during a very busy trading week that is filled with a wrath of central bank decisions, surging international COVID-19 cases, solid economic data, effects of stimulus working its way through the economy, and pent-up consumer demand. Financial markets are edge, especially considering how quickly stocks sold off following news of the White House plans for capital gains tax. A lot of the good news has been priced in for the US and some investors are focusing on Europe’s recovery potential. The Fed will likely stay the course at the April policy meeting. The Fed will have to become even more optimistic given the better-than-expected vaccination rollout and improvement in the labor market. The Fed will stick to the script that the recovery is incomplete and that more support is warranted. Greater clarity that they will tolerate most inflation for the rest of the year could provide what the bond market ....