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Analysis-Fed pivot hopes whipsaw Treasury market as investors hunt for rate peak

Shifting views on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory are roiling the U.S. Treasury market, as investors gauge how close the central bank is to pulling back from its aggressive monetary policy tightening. Benchmark 10-year yields tumbled at the start of the week as investors reacted to the widening conflict in the Middle East and dovish comments from Fed officials, who leaned into the possibility that interest rates may not need to go higher. The volatility in Treasuries - which has rippled out into equities and other risk assets - is likely to continue until the market gets a definitive signal that the Fed is preparing to downshift, investors said. ....

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Analysis-China property creditors face worsening restructuring terms as sector recovery hopes sour

As more Chinese property developers move towards restructuring billions of dollars of debt, their offshore creditors are expected to face another setback - the prospects of revamp terms being tightened due to a worsening outlook for the county's real estate sector. Developers, financial advisers and bondholders said that could make debt restructuring terms much worse than expected earlier. Sunac China last week became the first property developer to complete the debt revamp process after the sector plunged into a debt and funding crisis in mid-2021, while Country Garden, China's largest private property developer, is expected to start those negotiations soon. ....

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