call themselves conservative and will likely dominate his way through the rest of the primaries despite what nikki haley does or does not do. but november 5th, 2024, is not a primary race and a candidate cannot rely on the strength of their base alone, and that is where it is helpful to read between the lines of last night s vote. unlike iowa, which is a lock for the gop, new hampshire s electorate is swingy trump lost moderates to haley, two lost college graduates to haley, and three, lost independents to haley, it is a problem, especially when 68% of independents flat out said they will not vote for him. and 42% of primary voters say they don t think someone convicted of a crime would be fit to be president, if that happens to donald trump. a reminder, for all we talk about the general election, what we really mean is the general election in six specific states. arizona, nevada, georgia, michigan, wisconsin, and pennsylvania. you see them there. so let us untangle what we k
Вмешательство США в кризис на Украине может стать самоубийством для США
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you don t have room to make a single mistake. perry has made mistakes. he s made big mistakes on illegal immigration. sean: in terms of obama, the economy stays oh yeah. sean: maxine waters criticizing him is important. she is going to vote for barack obama, not a republican wham percentage of his base stays home because they are out of work, the economy has not gotten better, hope and change has fizzled out. i agree, obama has a total glass jaw it could be any of these candidates could win but you may as well run your best candidate and which is going to govern early. i think if christie doesn t jump in, it is going to be romney that is my guess, perry or romney. in the senate we want a republican president who will sign things the republican senate [ unintelligible ] sean: if governor christie
you don t have room to make a single mistake. perry has made mistakes. he s made big mistakes on illegal immigration. sean: in terms of obama, the economy stays oh yeah. sean: maxine waters criticizing him is important. she is going to vote for barack obama, not a republican wham percentage of his base stays home because they are out of work, the economy has not gotten better, hope and change has fizzled out. i agree, obama has a total glass jaw it could be any of these candidates could win but you may as well run your best candidate and which is going to govern early. i think if christie doesn t jump in, it is going to be romney that is my guess, perry or romney. in the senate we want a republican president who will sign things the republican senate [ unintelligible ] sean: if governor christie
situation stays the same, and we see what he did with israel, and you say prominent, high profile, liberal democrats, furious about the treatment of israel, does that then mean that he would lose some of his base? it does. look, i don t think obama has a prayer of getting reelected. i don t think the economy stays, i think inflation goes crazy it forces a second recession. i think there is no way he s going to be capturing huge percentage of the latino vote, having stalled immigration reform. i don t think the black vote comes out for him in nearly the same numbers. he loses the jewish vote after what he is doing to is i can t see kids facing a lifetime of unemployment, coming out of college having the same enthusiasm they did last time. i can see middle aged and older white men and women increasing their turn-out. sean: i can see thatqeu0 scenario. don t statement him. i want to say this about
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