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we have a 50/50 split in the u.s. senate with kamala harris breaking the tie. one seat shift could make the difference in the world. what are key states that we re watching? here are key senate races we re watching. we have wisconsin. we have georgia. we have pennsylvania. we have nevada. we have arizona. not only here and we have new hampshire. let s dive in and get an understanding of a key state. pennsylvania, the commonwealth of pennsylvania. look how tight the polling is th there. john fetterman at 47% and mehmet oz at 47% and to give you an understanding how important the pennsylvania senate race is. the democrat s chance of maintaining control, if mehmet oz wins, they have an 18% chance of holding onto the chamber. if fetterman wins, the democrats chance jump up to 70%. pennsylvania is a really key state. back to you alisyn. thank you very much. i think that would be great for our dueling panel segment. i ll take pennsylvania. set the clock for four minutes, if ....
before they head to the polls. trying times. and with control of the senate and the house both up for grabs, both parties are barnstorming the critical battleground states. let s check in with cnn s senior data reporter, harry enten. where are we on the battle for the senate? hey, alisyn. let s start off with an idea of what s at stake in this election. how close the balance of power in the united states senate was going into election night. look at this. we got a 50-50 senate right now between democrats and republicans with vice president kamala harris breaking that tie. so any one seat, any one seat shift could make all the difference in the world. so what are some key states that we re watching? here are some key senate races that we re watching. look, we ve got wisconsin. we ve got georgia. we ve got pennsylvania. we ve got nevada. we ve got arizona. not on here, also my favorite state, the place where i went to college, new hampshire is another state that we re ....
We re going be to be looking at the keystone case, pennsylvania, the common wwealth of pennsylvania. the polling is tight there right now. the choice for pennsylvania senate, it s within the margin of error. democrat john fetterman, 47%. mehmet oz at 47%. this race has been tightening this entire last few months. and to give you an understanding of how important the pennsylvania senate race is to democrats chance of maintaining control, if mehmet oz wins, the republican, they have just an 18% chance of holding on to the chamber. if john fetterman, the democrat, wins, the democrats chances jump all the way to 70%. so pennsylvania a really key state. back to you. i think that would be great for our dueling panel segment tonight. i like it. so i ll take pennsylvania. set the clock, please, for four minutes if you would. thank you very much. we re back with scott jennings, keith boykin, and also joining us is cnn presidential historian ....
Maintaining control, if mehmet oz wins, they have an 18% chance of holding onto the chamber. if fetterman wins, the democrats chance jump up to 70%. pennsylvania is a really key state. back to you alisyn. thank you very much. i think that would be great for our dueling panel segment. i ll take pennsylvania. set the clock for four minutes, if you would. thank you very much and we re back with scott, keith and joining us is cnn presidential historian. great to have all of you. spotlight on pennsylvania. this weekend tomorrow former president obama will be in pittsburgh and former president trump will be in latrobe. pennsylvania must mean a lot. what do you see happening in pennsylvania from your historical perspective? i remember how oprah changed everything when she came out and ....