This is a Holyrood election like never before. It is taking place during a pandemic, over a quarter of voters are planning to vote by post, and Alex Salmond is attempting to return from the political wilderness. In this fast-changing context, here are three key trends that Ipsos MORI and STV News’ latest Scottish Political Monitor indicates we should look out for.
1. The SNP looks on course for a majority, but there are some warning signs for the party. The SNP is still in a very strong position on the constituency vote. Our latest poll puts the party on 53% of the vote, 23 points clear of the Scottish Conservatives who have the next largest share of the vote.