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The Postwar History of Senate/Presidential Ticket-Splitting, Part Two

As Democrats try to hold the Senate through defending red states, a look at the rise and fall of split Senate outcomes in presidential years.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE This is the second part of our history of presidential-Senate split-ticket results, from World War II to now. This part covers the mid-1980s to present, a timeframe that started with many instances of split results and ended with hardly any at all. In 1984 and 1988, amidst large GOP victories at the presidential level, more than a dozen Republican-won states sent Democrats to the Senate both years. The 1990s, when Democrats were successful at the presidential level, split-ticket voting tended to benefit Republicans in the Senate, making the decade an exception in the postwar era. In the 2000s, Democrats were back to benefitting from the split-ticket dynamic, first under a Republican president, George W. Bush, then with a Democrat, Barack Obama. Montana, a state which Senate Democrats are defending this year in

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