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CNN Election Night in America The Midterm Primaries July 7, 2024

mcswain and businessman dave white. but we do have a projection to make in the democratic governor s race. and cnn projects pennsylvania attorney general josh shapiro will be the democratic nominee for pennsylvania governor. shapiro coasts through uncontested. he will face the winner of the republican gubernatorial primary in the fall. dana bash, shapiro is counting on having a republican candidate, republican competitor whom he can easily paint as extreme. absolutely. he s already starting to do that. we should note that josh shapiro announced that he s positive for covid so i m not sure that we ll actually see him tonight. but jake is exactly right. he became a national figure during the time between november, the november election and when the inauguration happened because as the attorney general in pennsylvania, he was very aggressive about pushing back against gop efforts to overturn the election there. depending on who he has as his opponent, he might be fightin ....

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CNN Election Night in America The Midterm Primaries June 4, 2024 00:52:00

The middle stretches of the state. that of course is where the former president was very strong in 2020. doctor oz not expected to be as strong but has to hold his own there. an uncertain ending at least for the dr. oz political show here in bucks county. still early. only 5% of the vote is in. dave mccormick is ahead, impressive lead at least so far. let s discuss with casey and michael. both pennsylvania natives. what do you make of the early numbers. there have been momentum shifts. the trump endorsement of oz caused a reevaluation. if oz wins, it s only because of donald trump. of that i m certain. and wolf, you have oz and you have mccormick spend $50 million battling one another, that allowed barnette because it was mutually assured destruction. to emerge out of nowhere. ....

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CNN Election Night in America The Midterm Primaries June 4, 2024 00:41:00

We are early. that s the number you just mentioned that s most important talking about the context this is the republican primary, about 4% of the vote counted so far. if you re dave mccormick, it s great to be ahead. however, the ohio senate race and nebraska governor s race, the candidate that opened up the early lead in both of theose states came in third. dave mccormick, a 5600 and change lead over dr. oz. kathy barnette, the conservative who was surging at the ending, did she peak too soon? looking at the map, you see 11 counties where dave mccormick is leading at the moment. one for dr. oz, that s philadelphia county. it happens to be the biggest population center in the state, philadelphia. one, kathy barnette, in montgomery county in the suburbs out here. leading with about 15% in in this very important suburban area outside of philly, 30%, 25, 18. so that s what we ll be ....

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CNN Election Night in America The Midterm Primaries June 4, 2024 00:15:00

Everywhere where we have votes right now. again, you re seeing votes in the more moderate areas of the state which is why you see a more moderate candidate winning right now on the governor s race. you come over to the senate race side here. again, 2%. we have a long way to go. but dave mccormick is pulling into early leads in those traditional areas tells you traditional republicans are with the former hedge fund manager, a more traditional republican candidate. if we rewound the tape eight or ten years, we don t live in that republican party anymore so we have a long way to count. one of the lessons we learned from the trump years was that he was able to build up the margins of victory in those counties that weren t pittsburgh or harrisburg or philadelphia so that instead of a democrat like barack obama, and i m just making up these numbers, but losing 60/40 over a democrat like hillary clinton, would lose to donald trump 80/20. those are the areas that i think ....

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CNN Election Night in America The Midterm Primaries June 4, 2024 01:24:00

12% of the vote. we have population centers slower to report the vote. we have a ways to go. you see the big jump and that s proof positive on the map when you compare them trump endorsement without a doubt helping mastriano for now. barletta in a distant second. long way to go. that was a big switch for mastriano who started the night off more slowly. again look at this part of the state. think of the governor s race. remember this pink from mastriano here. come to the republican senate primary, you have a split. you have dave mccormick leading in some of the counties. look how close this is. 31.7. round it up. 32 to 29 to 23. this is getting closer as we get more votes in. you see some for barnette in the rural counties. again she doesn t have the trump endorsement but was maga before trump if you will. look again, 33, 26, 26. or 27 if you round up mccormick. one county over, these are small counties. 30, 27, 25. you have a split republican field they are fracturing the ....

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