smerconish starts right now. is it over before it begins? i m michael smerconish in philadelphia. before a single primary vote has been cast, has donald trump already sewn up the gop nomination or is it still up for grabs? everybody has an opinion. but the data tells a pretty compelling story. peggy noonan writing that i refuse to see the story as over. voting begins now. after chris christie dropped out, nate kohn wrote the christie vote alone will probably not be enough, but haley has been steady gaining in the polls and historically there is a lot of precedent for urge is being candidates to keep gaining especially over a contest s final days. and new hampshire will be a wild card. independents can vote in the gop primary and according to data released yesterday, 43% of americans, look at that graph, 43% of americans consider themselves to be independent. rs and ds are tied at 27. it tie as record for an independent showing making them the largest political bloc in the c
be in control of their reproductive rights? yes, i do. governor, you have my vote. thank you. bring it home, everybody. it s a vote for new york. let me say i was a huge fan of alfred hitchcock and i found the lighting that was a little horror-esque. i m sorry. we were on the stage. look at this. i know. it s terrible lighting. i know. it s bad. that s what you re getting out of this video? isn t that a lesson? do you know where i get it from? where? i heard viewers going, oh, my gosh. great artist skill. stole that from you. please don t turn it around. that makes me sad. anyway, so talk about why this race is so close. new york state. you tell me, joe. you re the expert. am i? am i theers pert? you re the expert on this. he s talking a lot about crime and that s so help me out here. yes. she was on stephanie ruhle s show the other night and she said that there s not a crime problem. steph said yeah, there is a crime problem. r
p0p those downpours. this storms tend to pop off like popcorn, difficult to predict which areas get the storms, some will mist them altogether. one in the south east, 25, 17 in edinburgh. and then on wednesday, i think the risk of heavy showers and some thunderstorms across some southern parts of the country. here is the outlook for the following couple of days. thursday and friday, towards the end of the week, the weather is generally set fair and really feeling quite pleasant. but not everybody gets the rain. back to you. thanks, tomasz. and that s bbc news at ten on monday the 15th of august. there s more analysis of the day s main stories on newsnight with mark urban, which isjust getting underway on bbc two. the news continues here on bbc one as now it s time to join our colleagues across the nations and regions for the news where you are. but from the ten team, it s goodnight. hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me a
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