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为什么天气预报经常在灾难发生后才获得关注？

发展不是统一的和线性的。它们有时候会超前，比如18世纪50年代富兰克林所做的风筝实验，或者霍华德在1802年对云进行的分类。而在其他情况下，一种观点从诞生到被人接受可能会需要整整一代人的时间，就像雷德菲尔德的旋转风暴一样。
狄更斯在《匹克威克外传》第4章有一段描写匹克威克先生追帽子的文字：
在这里，帽子是观点的绝佳象征。假如追得太快，就像埃斯皮的造雨理论或上升气柱理论一样，你会有遭人耻笑的危险。但如果你追的速度不够快，它就会消失，就像埃奇沃思的电报那样。菲茨罗伊的天气预报也面临这种两难的境地。它们就像莫尔斯的电报一样充满新意，而莫尔斯花费了10年的时间才把他的想法变成产品。多年以来，他为了让人相信一直在苦苦挣扎。这正是哲学和科学所要面对的核心挑战：如何让人们相信？在18 ....

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