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Election Polls In 2020 Produced Error Of Unusual Magnitude, Expert Panel Finds, Without Pinpointing Cause


Election Polls In 2020 Produced Error Of Unusual Magnitude, Expert Panel Finds, Without Pinpointing Cause
More than eight months after the acute polling embarrassment in the 2020 U.S. elections - that produced the sharpest discrepancy between the polls and popular vote outcome since 1980 - survey experts examining what went wrong say they have no definitive answers about why polls erred as markedly as they did.
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That inconclusive finding reported by a polling industry task force will do little to assuage popular skepticism about election polls which, in one way or another, have misfired in all U.S. presidential races but one since 1996. ....

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Election polls in 2020 produced 'error of unusual magnitude,' expert panel finds, without pinpointing cause (gee...what could that cause POSSIBLY be...?)


Election polls in 2020 produced ‘error of unusual magnitude,’ expert panel finds, without pinpointing cause (gee.what could that cause POSSIBLY be.?)
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More than eight months after the acute polling embarrassment in the 2020 U.S. elections – that produced the sharpest discrepancy between the polls and popular vote outcome since 1980 – survey experts examining what went wrong say they have no definitive answers about why polls erred as markedly as they did.
That inconclusive finding reported by a polling industry task force will do little to assuage popular skepticism about election polls which, in one way or another, have misfired in all U.S. presidential races but one since 1996. ....

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Survey experts have yet to figure out what caused the most significant polling error in 40 years in Trump-Biden race


More than six months after the astonishing polling embarrassment in the 2020 U.S. elections, survey experts examining what went wrong are uncertain about what led to the sharpest discrepancy between the polls and popular vote outcome since Ronald Reagan defeated Jimmy Carter in a near-landslide in 1980.
Lingering questions about the misfire in 2020, in which voter support for then-President Donald Trump was understated in final pre-election polls, suggest that troubles in accurately surveying presidential elections could be deeper and more profound than previously recognized. If the source of the polling miscall isn’t clear, then addressing and correcting it obviously becomes quite challenging. ....

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