which one of these counties and which part of the county does actually end up seeing the worst of this. when you re talking about the worst case scenario for surge, which is about up to 16 feet. jane: yeah, yeah, and that s the question the you take the storm surge and the wobble and the wind, that s not only a scenario that we re watching for the big bend, but even down into tampa and into st. pete clear water, you know. the change and the wind direction, how the storm comes up to the north is also going a play a role in where we re expecting to see the worst of the storm surge impacts there. tampa, bay, you know, very susceptible, the most vulnerable place in the country to take on storm surge and if we get things like up just right, now you re talking a really dangerous scenario for people who you know, in a lot of ways have been spared the worst in the last couple of times. ian: yeah, jane, i was just taking a closer look. does it appear that the right side of this fo
it was at 12. oh, 12 millibars. part of that is we were in recon flights so we didn t have the data. jane: this next hour especially as the hurricane hunters continue to fly through the storm, the air force there, we re going to get critical information. we just had one pass through the center. this really on, you know, what we would consider you know coming out of the northwest, continuing into the southeast and we re likely to see this turn into the northeast quadron and the deeper convecture to my surprise has been a little to the southwest of the eye. that s going to continue to wrap up to the northeast and that s where we have the greater impacts of those rain bands that continue ooh spin off into the west coast and we re expecting to see flooding rains, that storm surge potential and it s going to slowly kick off to the northeast. it s been kinds of wobbling a little bit and we re still having that northward turn but
we re here because we re tracking a dangerous storm out in the gulf of mexico that s expended to be a category four when it arrives on florida s coastline call it somewhere around 8:00 am. jane: yeah, i think it s going to happen a lot sooner than people that people realize coming up at the start of the day. we ve got fox weather chief meteorologist bob but first here in cedar key, florida, where this camera continues to get worse et every time we look at it. the rough chop of these waves slams up on the surface of the rails and storm surge going a intensify and as that wind shifts and the push of the storm heads back into the big bend and cedar key already seeing that push of the wind at really high tide nearing two feet of a surge. this isth expected to potentially be upwards of 16 feet we re going to have to see howe things shape up especially down the coast. ian: yeah, jane that we talked a lot about the problems here.
the water has already pulled on to the side of the road. i mean, it s scary to see that this person is taking, you know, their life in their hands at this point. ian: yeah, nothing good is going to come out of that, jane, at all at all. we re going to keep an eye on this camera and we ll watch to see what s going on here. this is a scenario that only gets worse. as we measured the storm to be, as cody said, about 100 miles to the . jane: 100 miles. ian: 100 miles west-southwest and 100 miles south of tallahassee and the one thing as jane pointed out, for cedar key, these winds are not even per opinion dick you d lur. is that a perpendicular hopefully to get that person out of there. we ve got fox chief meteorologist bob mcdillan and we ve been watching that water rising to that camera and it s almost up a couple of feet up from zero when we got started in at midnight.
i want to show folks that real quick. we just got that in brand new from the hurricane hunters that are sampling the storm right now. the last pass through the center was at 1:35 so this data is just about half an hour ago. this is what led to the upgrade, jane. mass winds assembled by the aircraft 1,16 miles per hour. the assumption is being made here that the airplane isn t flying through the absolute worst part of this storm, so, yeah, often times you can add maybe 10% to the work that they find. jane: also what stands out to me is the eye characteristic, a close center circulation shows a very strong intense storm coming together. you can see the person, though, really i m not sure what they re trying to do i mean, dangerous thing to be trying to take on the waivers. i mean, this is the type of situation that s un the waves. i mean, this is the type of situation that s unpredictable. the waters are so rough and