Thank you for watching Newsnight State of the race. Laura coates live starts right now live defying reality. Donald trump makes a campaign prediction, but not even his own supporters are buying. Plus, diddy is not getting out before his trial. A judge denying him bail again so what exactly will his life like in that Brooklyn Jail ive got a special guest who is ben there . Hes going to join us. And 48 the election. And Donald Trumps path to 270 seems to be well expanding lees according to him we are going to win New York. And thats the first time in many, many years that are republican can honestly say it. And were going to do, and we have to do it. We do it. And the election nationwide is over you heard him he thinks the state he lost by more than 20 points in 2016 and by The Way, in 2020 is in play he dedicated nearly two Hour Rally on long Island Tonight to make that very case and in the immortal words of dodgeball so bold strategy cotton, lets see if that pays off for them look, who