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Does the Poleward Jet Shift Drive Midwest Precipitation Changes?

Understanding how global warming affects regional precipitation is a significant challenge. ....

United States , Megan Craig , Pacific Northwest National Laboratory , Group On Large Ensembles , Department Of Energy Office Science , Environmental Research , Poleward Jet Shift Drive Midwest Precipitation , Image Credit , North American , Tech Industry Focus , Northwest National Laboratory , United State Midwest , Coupled Model Intercomparison Project , Initial Condition Large Ensemble , Energy Office , Global Model Analysis , Multi Sector Dynamics , Working Group , Large Ensembles , World Climate Research Program Working Group , Coupled Modeling , Seasonally Dependent Future Changes ,

CMIP6 models have improved in simulating sea surface salinity and freshwater flux

CMIP6 models have improved in simulating sea surface salinity and freshwater flux
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Pengfei Lin , Hai Zhi , University Of Information Science , Group On Coupled Modeling , Institute Of Atmospheric Physics , World Climate Research Program , Chinese Academy Of Sciences , Southern Oscillation , Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects , Working Group , Coupled Modeling , Nanjing University , Information Science , Atmospheric Physics , Chinese Academy , Oceanic Science ,

Skillful prediction of summer rainfall in the Tibetan Plateau on multiyear time scales

Skillful near-term climate predictions of rainfall over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), the Asian water tower, benefit billions of people. On the basis of the state-of-the-art decadal prediction models, we showed evidence that although the raw model outputs show low predicted ability for the summer Inner TP (ITP) rainfall due to low signal-to-noise ratios in models, we can produce realistic predictions by extracting the predictable signal from large ensemble predictions along with a postprocessing procedure of variance adjustment. The results indicate that the summer ITP rainfall is highly predictable on multiyear time scales. The predictability of ITP rainfall originates from the Silk Road pattern driven by sea surface temperature over the subpolar gyre region in North Atlantic. Real-time forecasts suggest that the ITP will become wetter, with 12.8% increase in rainfall during 2020–2027 relative to 1986–2005. Our results will help the water resources management in the surrounding region ....

Yellow River , China General , Yangtze River , Tibetan Plateau , Atlantic Ocean , Indian Ocean , National Natural Science Foundation Of China , Chinese Academy Of Sciences , Silk Road , Ganges River , Asian Water , Coupled Model Intercomparison Project , Representative Concentration Pathway , North Atlantic Ocean , Southern Ocean , Qiang Tang Plateau , Climate Prediction Project , Water Resources , Global Precipitation Climatology Project , Reanalysis Project , Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature , Shared Socioeconomic Pathways , Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial , World Climate Research Programme , Working Group , Coupled Modeling ,