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EU Coalition Explorer

The EU Coalition Explorer presents the results of the EU27 Survey conducted by the European Council on Foreign Relations in the 27 member states of the European Union. It illustrates the expert opinions of more than 800 respondents who work on European policy in governments, think-tanks, academia, the media, and elsewhere. The Coalition Explorer creates a visual understanding of the views held by Europe’s professional political class – information that otherwise is not available to policymakers or the public.
Across 20 policy areas, the EU Coalition Explorer shows the potential for future coalition building between EU member states. The interactive tool can be used to locate the EU’s political centre – or centres – from which a more capable and cohesive European Union can be built. ....

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Germany at the helm: How Berlin kept Europe together in 2020

When Germany began its six-month presidency of the European Council, on 1 July 2020, the European Union was reeling from the covid-19 pandemic, the worst economic crisis since the second world war, and a series of preceding challenges such as Brexit, a lack of common ground on migration and asylum policy, and disputes over the bloc’s seven-year budget. With European health systems and economies under intense pressure, the Council presidency was a crucial intermediary in promoting smooth, efficient cooperation between member states. Berlin responded by coming up with an ambitious agenda that covered not only these issues but also a range of other policy areas: digital sovereignty, financial market stability, sustainable growth, and social and economic equality. One might ask whether any member state other than Germany could have coped with all these challenges. ....

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Why Poland threatened to veto the EU recovery fund

As if the past year hadn’t already been difficult enough, Poland and Hungary recently threatened to derail negotiations over the Multiannual Financial Framework and the Next Generation EU fund, both of which are designed to help the European Union and its members cope with the economic fallout of covid-19 crisis. The standoff was at least temporarily resolved by a show of constructive ambiguity. Yet the whole fracas puts a long-standing paradox into stark relief.
Poland, whose citizens are among the most pro-EU in the union, remains either on the periphery of the European project, as shown by ECFR’s Coalition Explorer, or in direct opposition to its main trends: not only on foreign and climate policy, but also on the interpretation of the EU’s fundamental values and national sovereignty. Domestically, there is no significant voting bloc that would support hardline opposition to the EU, but this is the approach that the government in Warsaw has taken. The result of the sh ....

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How Britain and the EU could cooperate on defence after Brexit

In November, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson made headlines when he announced that the Ministry of Defence would receive an extra £16.5 billion over four years on top of its annual budget, set at £41.5 billion for 2020. This is the biggest British defence investment since the end of the cold war. The decision was particularly noteworthy because it came on the back of the chancellor’s decision to cancel the planned comprehensive spending review in light of the covid-19 pandemic, and to award all government departments only a one-year funding deal instead. The prime minister said that he had decided to give the Ministry of Defence an exemption to “end the era of retreat”. ....

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On the rocks: Malta-EU relations in times of crisis

The European Council on Foreign Relations’ Coalition Explorer provides indispensable insight into how the government of Malta navigates the wider European constellation of foreign partners and policy areas. The survey records the views of policy professionals across the European Union – and the latest data show that Malta leads a lonely existence, as one of the states that other EU members are least likely to get in touch with to discuss emerging issues. Policymakers across Europe suggest that Malta is also one of the least responsive member states when they do get in touch with it. Meanwhile, the government of Malta has become disaffected by a lack of European solidarity on migration and the coronavirus pandemic, and is increasingly critical of the EU. It has been turning to its bilateral relations – often with countries outside Europe – and pursuing unilateral action to achieve its policy goals. ....

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