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BBCNEWS Dateline London October 11, 2020

Hello and welcome to dateline london. I am geeta guru murthy. It has become the new conventional wisdom that the polls cannot be trusted. In the us the latest polls give joe biden a large lead, as much as 16 points in the popular vote at the last count. Perhaps the unwritten story is that the polls may be right. If so then we may be underestimating the scale of a Biden Victory. In 1980 Ronald Reagan won a victory over then jimmy carter taking 44 seats to president carters 6 seats. The spilt in popular opinion was then 51 41 to reagan, and that is in similar territory to the split now between biden and trump where biden is at around 52 to trump on 42 . The president may yet recover, of course, which is what he appears to have done from the coronavirus this week. A mere six days after contracting the virus the president is back at work, proclaiming that he has a cure he wants to ....

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BBCNEWS Dateline London October 10, 2020

At a safe social distance is my colleague, clive myrie. Thank you all forjoining us today. As they stand, the polls suggest a comprehensive victory for biden in the Electoral College of Something Like 279 to 125. Can that really be right . Jeffrey . It is pretty clear that if the election was held today it would be right and it would be said as she said in your intro, it would be much stronger. If it was today, it would be reasonable to expect that biden would have a landslide in the complicated Electoral College which is required to win the presidency in the us. Thats 16 point pull you talk about, the cnn poll, is the largest gap but almost every poll in the last couple of weeks puts biden more than ten points ahead of trump. It is hard to see how trump can turn this around, in fact he has had one of the worst wee ....

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