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States. steve kornacki, thank you very much. by the way, with or without graphics, we look at you as steve kornacki master of graphics, but there s so much more there. we have 16 states and the district of columbia here as we approach this hour. we have a lot more projections as we approach this hour. and let s do it. 8:00 eastern time, let s go outside to rockefeller plaza, up the side of the building we go. the state of florida. we have as too close to call. 29 electoral votes. pennsylvania, too early to call. 20 electoral votes. new hampshire, too early to call. 4 highly fought-over electoral votes. illinois goes to the clinton column. of course the home originally of hillary clinton. a big state, 20 electoral votes, part of the blue wall, as is new jersey, the most densely ....
The clinton column. i think if you add all of these numbers up that we had from the polls yesterday, trump said about 255. he s still 15 points short. those 15 electoral votes, they come from north carolina. explain the complexity of north carolina and why this state deep in the heart of dixie still is stubbornly staying in clinton s column. it s a microcosm of the election. intense blue dots around the research triangle around chapel hill where university of north carolina is and you have very strong pockets of rural white formerly solidly democratic voters two generations ago who have been solidly republican really since ronald reagan. so you have to me, if he wins north carolina, i think the whole map is blown up. i suspect, by the way, that there are at least two or three ....
Hard. you say poll of polls. florida. that s why cnn does the poll of polls. florida, clinton is back up there. the average is it s a tie. that means if it is tied there, does trump now have a better potential path to 270? yes. if he loses north carolina or florida, it is hard for him to get there. the straight forward path is to hold the states romney won in 2012. which means north carolina. he has to hold north carolina? yes, i think. and then add ohio, florida and pennsylvania. pennsylvania seems like a bridge too far. they have to come together something else. combination of nevada, iowa and something else. the something else is one of the states that we have considered more safely in the clinton column. it could be colorado. it could be michigan. it could be wisconsin. those last two look very hard. new hampshire, as david said, ....
Before saying the elections are rigged and vowing to sue the women who accused him of sexual assault and impropriety. this is an 11th woman you see there on your right who is now accusing him of sexual misconduct came forward last night. florida appears to be a must-win for donald trump, and his schedule over the next few days makes that clear. trump will be holding five rallies in five cities over the next three days in pursuit of florida s 29 electoral college votes. the latest quinnipiac poll shows trump trailing hillary clinton by 4 points. that s the latest match-up there. let s talk about this. the chairman of the florida republican party and a state lawmaker. blaise, good morning to you. i wonder, when you look at the latest quinnipiac there, clinton up 4. let s put the battle ground up. it has it in the clinton column. how does donald trump get ahead? how does he turn this around? well, the first thing i would ....
Cnn poll shows clinton ahead two points. clinton is ahead in nevada by two points, north carolina ahead by one point. in ohio, trump is ahead by 4. ohio is good news for trump, but the other two are republican territory in the clinton column? right? and it s in the clinton column. yeah, no doubt. baseline right now, if the election were to be held today, we have hillary clinton at 272, she wins. donald trump is at 196. follow me here, donald trump has to win north carolina. donald trump has to win ohio. donald trump has to win florida, which other polling shows he s trailing down there. that still doesn t get him to 272, he then needs to win a big democratic state, whether that s virginia, michigan or pennsylvania. those are all right now pretty strong with hillary clinton, or he has to win nevada where i stand root now in las vegas, or wisconsin and colorado. two more democratic states, to say that the path is difficult ....