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rick: gary is the president of cull ambomb and associates. it s a tough topic with these numbers released by the u.s. secretary sus bureau. we appreciate you coming to us about it. thank you. appreciate it. juliet: steve jobs unveiling next generation in ipod technology. so how do these guys stack up against the competition? consumer reports gives you the low down on these high-tech wonders just in time for the holiday shopping. rick: get started right now. juliet: it s september. rick: come on. get going. ....
Arts of mathematical deception. we re glad you re both here. charles, if your book were turned into a tv show for fox, it could be called when numbers attack. what is it about numbers? why do we love them so much? why do we tend to believe things more when there is a number attached to it? numbers have the aura of truth. we think like mathematicians that these things are pure and unsullied by human touching. but in fact, real world numbers don t have that purity that we humans generate numbers and we generate them through measurements or through other means and those measurements are flawed. as a result, the numbers are flawed. rick: now, doug, you re someone who made a career out of crunching and then interpreting numbers. so you put a lot of faith in them. i do. rick: do you have any concerns about them? i do have concerns. i d say at the outset, rick, statistical rigor is important and if you have statistical ....
Uncertainty and make america more competitive, cut wasteful washington spending and reduce the size of government, reform congress and restore trust in government. here is more on that. the new agenda embodies america s rejection of the notion that we can simply tax, borrow, and spend our way to prosperity. it offers a new way forward that hasn t been tried in washington, an approach focused on cutting spending, which is sadly a new idea for congress, accustomed to always accelerating it. mccarthy says the economic situation has gotten so bad, that one in six americans relies on the government for some kind of financial support. rick. rick: molly henneberg in washington breaking it down for us. thanks. juliet: we re going to continue this whole topic. the gop pledge to america getting criticism from an unlikely source. well, possibly. members of the tea party giving the cold shoulder to the plan. some say it s heavy on slogans, but light on substance. will their reaction matter ....
To do it, the democrats dem goged him, said old ladies would be starving in the street, people would be homeless. look, the reason people are cynical about this and i was born in washington. i ve seen the politicians come and go. nancy pelosi said she was going to drain the swamp if democrats came back into power. she didn t drain the swamp. she built a hot tub. everybody in. we ve seen all of this before. it isn t working. so i want to see what the meat is on the bones before i fully sign off on it. sounds good. let s see what goes beyond this. juliet: we want to get to the tea party. one tea partier said, quote, it s a mealy mouthed sock to the tea party movement that is ripe with platitudelittle on substance. it sounds overall like the tea party is not really behind it. skepticism is the word here. some say this is the republican s attempt susan, i think you mentioned this. a commercial. explain what you mean by that. yeah. it is. it s a political commercial. i think that the ....
Presented in the release of those polls, you re as confused as i think you suggested people could well be. rick: okay. so charles, i d love to think we could do better when it comes to polling and when it comes to our use of numbers. if you were to put a number on it, what do you think the chances are that we could sort of improve the way we do things and make things more easily understandable for people? i think the chances of being able to do it is 100%. the chances are probably very low, maybe 5%. rick: you re a journalism professor at nyu. you are sort of molding the minds of young people. why do you not why are you so skeptical that we can t do it? i m afraid it takes time and money and these are things that are getting harder and harder to find. that explaining all the nuances of a poll, what s going possibly going wrong with it, why the wording might affect the outcome, that takes a lot of air time. that takes a lot of word space. it s getting harder to get that. ric ....