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The Capitol Riot Proved Me Wrong About U.S. Political Violence


Rioters gather on the U.S. Capitol Building on Wednesday in Washington.
Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images
Sometimes, I make mistakes. And then there are times I’m so wrong that it boggles the mind.
A year ago I wrote a column about the Bank Credit Analyst’s prediction of possible “black swans” for 2020, specifically what might happen in the event a Democrat were to win the White House. In it I wrote:
“Biden could tack left to gain support, or one of the actual progressives, such as Sens. Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, could win. That would be viewed as an ‘existential threat’ by Trump’s supporters. BCA suggests that a Trump loss to a progressive Democrat could provoke a violent reaction, analogous to secession by the Confederacy after the election of Abraham Lincoln in 1860.” ....

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