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Robert Whiting, winner of the 2023 Henry Chadwick Award for contributions to the understanding of baseball, is the author of books including "The Samurai Way… ....
February 21, 2021 As a rule, teams tend to be less aggressive, and take fewer chances, when behind in games. The logic is sound, but at the same time, is it really necessary? Is there not often something to gain by pushing the envelope and putting pressure on the opposing side, regardless of the score? I asked that question to Derek Shelton earlier this week. “I think it’s game-situational,” the Pirates manager replied. “The question I would [throw] back to you this is rhetorical, of course is ‘What’s the variation in terms of number of runs when you start to take chances, or don’t take chances?’ If it’s three or less, you probably have a greater chance of being aggressive. If you get to the point where you’re at four-plus, you have to be very careful… because the risk-reward may not play out.” ....