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Variant that s way stronger than delta coming down the pike? well, i think the second part of your sentence is is still true. we don t know that if there is potentially another variant which could be more problematic than omicron down the pike. but, you know, if you look sort of historically at viruses do tend to become, at the same time they become more transmissible, oftentimes, become less lethal. sort of trading off lethality for transmissibility. and, you know, we are seeing that with omicron. um, and and if you look overall, we are 90% of the case peak that we had last year but hospitalizations are are much lower. there is a decoupling, as people will say, between hospitalizations and this, which is an indication, for whatever reason, that this appears to be less virulent. maybe, the immunity that s already existing out there. maybe something inherent about the virus that s different. but, yeah, i think it s it s generally true that it becomes less lethal as it becomes ....
Peaking, what s the hospital situation to look like over the next few weeks? yeah. garrett, we are a big country. and so northeast, you know, you might start to see a peak in cases or plateau in cases, but i think some of the states are still going to as has been noted before, lag in hospitalization, but there are other parts of the country that are not even at the case peak, and they re going to see the hospitalizations sort of continue to increase for a bit after that. we are looking for the rest of january for hopefully not all of february, but a few weeks into february, still really high hospitalizations. the tough part is there are some things we are better off in in the wave. we know how to take care of patients better this. we are hopefully have more testing now in cases we can catch patients earlier, but you re looking at a scenario where there s so many cases that even a smaller percentage of hospitalizations is ending up to be a large number, and at a time, as you mention ....
You don t have to be hospitalized with covid for it to screw up your life. do you think we re undercounting the total right now? you talk about 8 00,000 cases. think of the people testing at home with rapid tests. maybe asymptomatic, maybe don t want to go through the process of long quarantine. what do you think the real numbers are, and what does that tell us about where the peak might or might not be? yeah. yes. absolutely. and the percentage to which the portion of which we might be undercounting might be different in different places dpepding on the access to testing. but i think there are estimates we may be well over a million cases a day. which is what we re sort of been inching towards. what that tells me is that you might see it s not just i think the how quickly his cases are making it through a community, but the vulnerability of the community. the demographics of how many are older and how many have prior infection. ....
You layer testing, oral antivirals, monoclonals, and masks on top of that but we need to do all of it. this is not a joke. omicron is still dangerous, and we have to employ all those strategies and techniques. i mean, sanjay, i guess my question is and and it was partly asked. but i mean, just overall, one day i mean, is that what happens to viruses? that they they gradually weaken over time, and is omicron a sign of that weakening? or is it just a this one happens to be a weaker variant and there s could be another variant that s way stronger than delta coming down the pike? well, i think the second part of your sentence is is still true. we don t know that if there is potentially another variant which could be more problematic than omicron down the pike. but, you know, if you look sort of historically at viruses do tend to become, at the same time they become more transmissible, oftentimes, become less lethal. sort of trading off lethality for transmissibility. and, y ....