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The FY26 budget is expected to be even tighter, with a lower fiscal deficit target. The government surprised everyone by not announcing any new social schemes or expanding existing ones. Allocation for popular social schemes like MNREGA and Jal Jeevan Mission remains unchanged. The budget focuses on boosting the investment cycle, with a significant increase in government capex, particularly on infrastructure projects. The tight fiscal situation may lead to lower interest rates and the possibility of policy rate cuts. ....
Interim Budget: The demand for "Modi currency" in the electoral market is soaring, benefiting the BJP. With the opposition INDIA alliance struggling and lacking a unified front, the BJP appears to have a clear advantage. The previous interim budget in 2019 did not include major sops to attract votes. The BJP has skillfully addressed religion, caste politics, infrastructure, development, and foreign diplomacy, creating a formidable challenge for the opposition. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman may not need to use her fiscal arsenal to appease voters this time. ....
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