is looking at the different routes to victory with the two main swing states in one column or the other, that being ohio and florida and how the other swing states may be able to there may be a path without one of their swing states for mitt romney. ohio, the depression over ohio in the romney camp is real and they re closely watching it and they have reason to be very concerned about it. ken, i think the story here is broader at least to me than just a polling bump for obama out of the convention. i think there s a bigger story here that really obama has been winning this race basically the whole way, since romney emerged from the republican primaries last spring. i don t know if we can see this, but i ll describe it. we have the polling trend that real clear politics puts together. they average together day to day every poll out there. it eliminates the noise with one outlier. going back to april, obama has clearly been ahead one, two, three, four points except for the start of t