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Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) releases a CMBS Loss Compendium, which provides base loss estimates for 266 KBRA-rated conduit transactions.
Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, surveillance has taken center stage in KBRA s ongoing discussions with CMBS investors. This is not surprising given the stress experienced by the commercial real estate (CRE) sector which is expected to continue as the performance of the asset class tends to lag that of the general economy. This is evidenced by CMBS 2.0 delinquencies, which increased to 7.04% as of year-end 2020 from just 0.91% prior to the onset of the pandemic.
Expectations of increased losses can contribute to downgrades. In this report and the accompanying spreadsheet, we provide insight on loss estimates for 266 KBRA-rated conduit transactions. The compendium uses the following two tables to present the loss figures: KBRA Lifetime Base Loss (KLBL), which represents our loss estimate for each transaction during its lifetime