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The COVID-19 pandemic and resulting public health measures have had significant impacts on daily life, including shifts in health behaviours which contribute to weight gain and may increase subsequent risk of chronic diseases such as cancer. Using OncoSim, a web-based microsimulation tool, we estimated the future burden of cancer in Canada by incorporating data on unintentional weight gain among adults during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Population impact measures were estimated until 2042, assuming a 12-year latency period. We estimated 12,160 excess cancer cases and 4,567 excess cancer deaths by 2042 due to COVID-19 related weight gain. The largest estimated impacts were observed for endometrial, kidney and liver cancers among women, with potential impact fractions (PIF) of 2.87%, 1.67% and 1.30%, respectively. For men, the largest mean PIFs were observed for esophageal (2.48%), kidney (1.85%) and liver (1.47%) cancers. Changes in health behavior during the COVID-19 pande ....

United States , United Kingdom , Bader Eddeen , Canadian Community Health , Canadian Perspectives Survey Series , Canj Public Health , Canadian Partnership Against Cancer , Prev Med Public Health , University Of British Columbia , J Pub Health , Bc Cancer Research Centre , Association Between Alcohol Intake , Correlations With Health Behavior , Canadian Partnership Against Cancer Oncosim , Michael Smith Foundation For Health Research , Wardlej Making Health Habitual , Health Canada , Canadian Community Health Survey , Canadian Cancer , Canadian Vital , Institutional Review Board , British Columbia , Michael Smith Foundation , Health Research , Statistics Canada , Research Centre ,