Lets bring in our guests today, arguing that stocks might not be so close to new highs for very long mike wilson, Morgan Stanley, back with us good to see you. Glad to be back. 10 correction is the most likely outcome why is that . Its a continuation from the call we made in september where we got a 10 correction. We walrallied back all this comes back to our framework. We look at the valuation its pretty full volatility has picked up because of the events they know are out there, whether its the virus, the second wave, or the election the premium we believe is a bit understated from where it should be thats all were saying. Its full here these risks are not going away for the next 30 days theyll be with us so, look, the range we put out in august, 3,100 to 3,550 holds. Were still bullish on the vshaped recovery, the call we made a while ago we think its a new bull market. But its risk reward and the risk reward for the upper end of the rage is not that good. If the facts change, could
It is hip to be square used to be at least. Lets check out u. S. Equity futures. Things are relatively flat and that isa good thing. A bit of a difference after the big swings weve seen. Right now dow futures up about 3, s p 500 up about 2, nasdaq up by 13. Of course this is after a done day for the m down day for the markets yesterday. Treasury yields are something to start paying attention to because we did see a pickup in treasury yields to the highest levels weve seen since june the ten year is yielding 0. 813 . And i know it doesnt seem like a lot, but it is the highest level weve seen in a while and there is so much that rides on that including mortgage pricing which has been a key part of what has been happening in the housing sector, a strong point in the economy so far. Lets get over to washington. Well talk about id call it a soap opera, but really it is a reality show and means a lot to so many millions before nancy pelosi says she is now optimistic that democrats may be abl
The nasdaq gaining 1. 7 . There could be a big threat bubbling underneath this market. President trump and chinese president xi jinping both dialing up the rhetoric today at the u. N. General assembly. Reporter President Trump has often used his annual speeches at the u. N. General assembly to challenge his adversaries, whether its the Nuclear Regimes in iran and north korea or for the second year running china, which he took direct aim at in his speech this year that was prerecorded despite consummating a trade deal with china in january. At this years virtual diplomatic gathering, the speeches were prerecorded and shorter than usual, but President Trump pulled no punches against china, which he accused of letting citizens leave the country and infect others and accused it of withholding information about the virus. The Chinese Government and the world health organization, which is virtually controlled by china falsely declared that there was no evidence of humantohuman transmission.
Shift. Weve got another bonus hour of fast money tonight at 6 00 where we will be answering all of your burning trading questions. If youve got one, tweet us cnbcfastmoney. We start off with zoom zoom shares staged a gigantic really its 40 jump today now gives ut a market cap bigger than lowes, ibm and citigroup. It is about 3 4 of the size of cisco, which of course is a similar product and 83 times the revenue. What do you make of this giant move today its pretty incredible. I dont know how often weve seen a stock thats jumped by 40 in a single day. But it ran into earnings weve seen nothing but bullish paper in here for the entire year the interesting thing is when you look at the numbers, yes, the numbers were astounding. When you look at the revenue and the earnings beat, its incredible what stands out for me is i look at this company. You just wonder, theres not a short squeeze going on here. Its not a very large short position i think this is just an amazing stock. People look at
Predictions and youre making another big one. Why next week for what you call a monsterous rally into your epicenter stocks happy friday. We took a look at what happened the last time cases peaked which was late april it took 20 days last time. If we look at the current context, daily cases peaked july 27th the 20th day would be august 14th we have been seeing consistent 7day decline in average daily cases but our clients are thinking this is in the middle ground theyre not clear if its a decisive move. I think it takes another week. That will happen next week and i think lit be violent sdp you think people are ready to get out of these stocks that have been so tried and true. Nasdaq closes above 11,000 clearly money wants to go into big megacap growth yes i think megacap growth is cheap as a bond proxy because youre paying 50 times for an investment bond. Paying 30 times for faang isnt expensive. These are the names that have been written off by the market its only 26 of the market ca