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What senate races are you pick one. senate race you re keeping an eye on. there s two critical ones for republicans. can t do it. arizona and nevada. i ll stick with arizona, and someone else can take nevada. if republicans win either one, it locks out the democrats. i think the polling strength in arizona for the republicans hasn t been as good as nevada. but the early vote analysis, according to the republicans on the ground there, is much better than it is in nevada. governor ducey, the republican, is running strong. he s going to win big. and i m told his organization is cranking for mcsally. also the republicans believe there may be some cannibalization of high propensity voters going on for the democrats. so they think they have more voters left to turn out on election day. so i ll say advantage slight advantage republicans in arizona. because if they win that one, it would make it very hard for the democrats to peel away the majority. it s an open seat. it s jeff f ....