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who think they might be having a good night. easy, easy. right. easy but but but. a court leaving the ballot open, diane, saying there are lines there in this race that we know is unusually competitive. it means you keep watching it. now let s come back to where we are as we wait. we still have no votes in in mississippi. we do here for another one. again, in this tough national climate for democrats, you have an incumbent democratic governor in a very red state, 56% of the vote in now. right. i told you earlier, watch down here. and a lot of them are starting to slowly fill in. right. these are the conservative counties. but daniel cameron getting only 51% of the vote there. let s just go back in time to 2019. andy beshear getting 46. so the incumbent did a little better. but here s what you look at here. go back to the presidential race. donald trump getting 74% here. and so the margins, the margins are not going daniel cameron s way. if you know that in the urban are ....
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They are increasingly running up the margins in the close-in suburbs, jefferson county, louisville, 67%. that s just shy of a 100,000 vote margin right there. i want to go back in time. yes, the democrat carried this last time but with 58%. you want to win an election and you re a democrat in a state like kentucky, you got to run it up here, andy beshear did that. it s a small are county, franklin county, you keep wandering the neighborhood here. you re talking about suburbs here. these are not big cities in kentucky, smaller cities, you come in here, lexington, you see it here. look at the percentage, 65% to 33% tonight. go back, the democrat won this four years ago but not by a margin like this. and y beshear outperforming ja conway. ....
There s family history. beshear was a popular governor, 2007-200015. he expanded medicaid a lot. a lot of governors did not. those who did, some succeeded, some didn t. he succeeded with that. how did it change? it s a very complicated state, and you know this. you ve been around politics all your life. so we can t just say it s the trump factor. but without a doubt, number one, the president, he may have made this closer. he may have helped matt bevin and come up short for that. but the president went in last night thinking he could pull it across the finish line, and that did not happen. number two, you look at the cincinnati suburbs this part of the state, the suburbs around lexington, around louisville, even down in bowling green, the democrats are gaining. that is happening during the truffle presidency. it happened all throughout 2018. it s a warning sign. does it change kentucky politics a lot? no. donald trump will most likely win kentucky quite easily next year. however, if ....
There may be a path, right. there is a path, and a lot of that is doing really well in lexington and louisville and northern kentucky and even in bowling green, so that you build a cushion and can survive the rural areas. the difference is that kentucky still really likes president trump. when you go out on the campaign trail, you know, people are in eastern kentucky, in western kentucky, they love the president, and he would be at the top of the ticket in 2020, and you have to imagine that he would be able to help carry the rest of the republican ticket in that election year. mr. sykes, president trump s campaign manager put out a statement, writing this the president just about dragged governor matt bevin across the finish line, helping him run stronger than expected in what turned out to be a very close race at the end. the president was tweeting about bevin for days. could this serve as a warning to other republicans that they shouldn t nationalize these races or use presiden ....