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On oil production and the smik spillovers are hurting. for the world it s a major down per. it s hurting africa, latin america. all things being equal, it s a major blanket on world economic growth and as a result it probably feeds into political uncertainty. and what, ann marie s that political uncertainly? what happens, for example? brazil could implode with the collapse of commodity prices. venezuela could implode, and then you have the middle east where iran needs high oil prices, iraq needs high oil prices, saudi arabia needs high oil prices. i ll start with the middle east and actually with an optimistic prediction because i think we are going to see a settlement of the syrian civil war this year. wow. we got a little opposition disagreement, but i really do think that russia and europe and the united states and the parties in the region will get a settlement, but i m going to ....