Live Breaking News & Updates on A Threat To National Security|Page 2

Stay updated with breaking news from A threat to national security. Get real-time updates on events, politics, business, and more. Visit us for reliable news and exclusive interviews.

"It's Not A Conspiracy"


Philosophers and analysts use a principle called
Occam’s Razor (sometimes Ockham’s Razor) to solve difficult problems. It says that when you are confronted with two possible solutions to a problem, one complicated and one simple,
it’s usually better to select the simple solution.
There’s always some attraction to the complicated solution because humans like intrigue and plot twists. But statistically, the simple solution is more likely to be correct and therefore the one that analysts should prefer unless contrary evidence presents. This approach is useful in dealing with conspiracy theories.
Yes, real conspiracies exist (such as the plot to assassinate JFK), and analysts must be alert to the possibility. But most so-called conspiracies have much simpler explanations that are more likely to be correct. ....

East China Sea , Japan General , Taiwan Strait , Taiwan General , White House , District Of Columbia , United States , South China Sea , Brunei General , Tony Blinken , Mao Zedong , Jen Psaki , A Threat To National Security , Eisenhower Executive Office Building , Team Biden , People Liberation Army , National Intelligence Avril Haines , National Security Council , Intelligence Community , Press Secretary Jen Psaki , State Tony Blinken , National Intelligence Avril , West Executive Avenue , West Wing , Eisenhower Executive Office , Situation Room ,