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Hopes if it s a close election, that could make a difference. obama got between 75 and 80% of the jewish vote four years ago. there was a poll recently that showed him getting 69 or 70% here. that would be instant many if you had another 537-vote election here like there was in 2000. jenna: we can t forget that, that s for sure. let s talk about the elderly as well. intoentitlements, medicare, medicaid, you have paul ryan with his plan, how do you think that s gone over with the elderly in florida? is there a general understanding of either candidate s perspective on entitlements and, again, which way does it seem to be playing right now? well, you know, seniors were the only group that voted for mccain in florida four years ago. i think obama carried every other age group. and then two years ago in the midterm elections seniors went heavily republican because of concerns about the medicare changes in the health care law. um, it s hard to say right now ....
Could play a big part in that. absolutely. the conventions, the debates, there are lots of things that could make a difference. we keep saying is this election like 2004? is it like 1992? hey, it might be like 2000. but the bush/gore race when it all came down to 537 votes in one state. jon: yeah. is there more of a potential upside, though, for mitt romney? i mean, presumably people know president obama pretty well. he s been in office almost four years. yes. that s why i think the republicans in the end are get a slightly larger, maybe more than slightly larger bounce than the democrats do. they have more to learn about the two republican nominees for president and vice president. and what they re going to learn during a convention is basically positive. that s going to make them feel better about the ticket. jon: larry sabato there at the university of virginia center for politics. thank you. thanks, jon. jon: all right. so, of course, fox muse is your ....
Romney starts we will, of course, cut you off mid-sentence and we ll pick you back up on the other side. let s star with the president in florida. crucial state for both candidates right now. florida s unemployment rate higher than the national average. 8.6% versus 8.2%. foreclosures are rising again there in florida. keith, what does that mean for president obama s florida strategy? this is going to be a close race, you know, if you look back in 2000, george w. bush narrowly won this race by 537 votes in that state and gave him the election. in 2008, barack obama won florida and that was a pivotal race for him. i think in this election, florida could be a deciding point. you know, florida, ohio, and virginia, the three states everybody s focusing on. so if they can win florida, get the senior vote, get the latino vote, get the other constituencies, they can make a win in the election in the electoral college. hogan, let s talk about the senior vote for a second. the president will ....
Roles down here. and 40 of those 107 actually voted in an election. it s important for all floridians who are legal voters that their vote not be neutralized by a noncitizen voting, particularly in a potential election this fall that might be very, very close. i want to remind you that in 2000, the presidential election was decided by 537 votes. it is my responsibility, as the chief elections officer, supported by governor scott, to make sure that every eligible voter can vote and those people who are ineligible are removed from our voter roles. eric: quickly, some would say, it s only 40 people, so what? well, the potential is much greater than that. if the department of homeland security would give us access to their database, which they have refused us access over a year. we think there will be more and we will uncover more individuals who are ineligible to vote who ....
State in charge of certifying the route of 2000. nobody will ever forget the hanging chads and the confusion in the days after the election. then there was this ballot. the butterfly ballot. used in palm beach county. the source of major confusion. the top part was easy. if you wanted george bush, you punched the top circle. but if you wanted al gore, you had to punch the third circle. it turns out, over 6,000 who wanted gore punched that second circle and accidentally voted for pat buchanan. after all of that, it boiled down to 537 votes. we all know how that turned out. i hereby declare governor george w. bush the winner of the ....