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Democrat hold that seat than have that man in the senate. almost every republican has said that in private. if you look at next year s senate map, the republicans are poised to pick up a couple more seats. we also have to hold onto nevada and arizona. you put roy moore in there, we are changing things we re going from 48/52 to to the predator of little kids. john heilman, is it better for the party if roy moore loses? oh, yeah, for sure. he s all two-word answers. for sure it s better for the party. the republican party suffered a lot when todd aiken was around and everybody in the party had to answer for his comments about rape and about consent. this is a situation where democrats will rightly hang roy moore around the republican party s neck if he ends up winning this race and ends up at the united states senate. ....
I think manchin keeps west virginia. i think the thing to look at in nevada is the split between the gubernatorial vote for the republican who will win easily and angle. i would not put that in either column yet but i would not count reid out. i think you re looking ultimately at 48/52. i don t think fiorina will ultimately pull this out but whitman might, california. i find the new wisconsin polls hard to take, given how deep down feingold s been. brand-new poll tonight where the president is i don t mean to interrupt. washington state race, we had a poll showing murray comfortably ahead. the new poll today shows this a dead heat. this is one where the president is today. this suggested to me we could be up for a late night watching california, nevada and washington state. i tell you, there s two guarantees. one, a republican wave this year the question is, how big. the second thing, guarantee it s a late night. we ll be looking at alaska, washington, california. i mean, the who ....
Very important issue in nevada, harry reid needs to turn out latino voters it if he is going to win, a base election, turn out his base, talking a lot about immigration. 48/52 on jobs, virtually tied, harry reid needs union voters to come out, given the climate, unpopularity in nevada. a big number, for him to fit to a draw on jobs in our mind is very big. slightly west of there the golden state of california, you have pretty nasty debate, jerry brown and meg whitman. you are saying this one, brown is leading in the polls and you are sticking with it? we do he seems to be winning on most of the issues. we think jerry brown has a fundamental advantage in california it is a liberal state. she has to make up a lot of ground to beat him. still like jerry brown. all that money she has poured into the race, it has not bought her nor sharon angle, 13 million in the third quarter to beat harry reid, we don t think. i want to get your prediction off the top of your head on the house ....