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Take wall street journal and nbc policy if ohio there was a six-point lead for obama but nine more points for democrats than republicans meaning turn out for democrats is more enthusiastic than 2008. but the national polls, the average which is of ten polls, take 22 polls conducted as of midnight last night, romney leads in 12, and obama leads in four and tied in six and romney is at or above 50 percent and obama won and the average of them? 48.2 to 47.5 so that is a sense of a strength for romney that could be expressed particularly against an incumbent. incumbent gets not were more than the number in the final poll. joe: both campaigns believe they can get to over 300 electoral votes because the models are so different. ....
Vehicles in china. they don t say they ll do it to the extent of jobs in the united states. they don t say they won t do as well in the united states. that line alone is actually true. whether you want to draw connections and saw this is at the expense of american jobs, maybe you could make that assumption. they re trying to walk a fine line with this ad, and it was really striking because it was so far from what governor romney said himself on the campaign trail that they would leave ads like this behind. the rare moments kwh they re not in the frund. you brought up an incredible point behind the scenes this is what his team is talked about. in ohio that s not what we re hearing from governor romney. thanks. garrett. up next, this week plit dal postscript from mark murray. first heeshgsz a look at real clear politics national average of the presidential polls. president obama is at 47.5%, ....
he may be able to ride a bad economy. 8% or more in october. it probably will be. heavy burden for the president. i agree. but if he is defying gravity the mitt romney campaign feeling is if obama is at 47% right now it mean he is gets 47.5% in the election and he loses because the people who turn at the end go to the challenger. bret: dynamic could change again in 16 hours. next up, as we anxiously await the u.s. supreme court healthcare ruling. the fox all-stars offer their prediction. [ male announcer ] every day, thousands of people are choosing advil® for their headaches. my name is sunshine and i have three beautiful girls. i like taking advil® for a headache. it nips it in the bud. ....
Needs to do to try to push that label away between now and election day? i think this is an economy election pip think you see them trying to put together a coalition that gets him over the top. i think his floor is 47.5%. i thi that why you see him parks etting different parties of the coalition. he want to ser himself away if the past is prolonged, we ll have very frivolous campaign. we ll have a lot of diversionary issues, distraction esh use. there s no debate taking place around the core issues that are going to determine whether we re ....
And bush said later he would have bailed out detroit as well. so what does he do to get around that? because you and i both know people go in the voting booth, they are not sitting around and calculating. they are thinking big government liberal or tax cutter or whatever. what do you think the obama team needs to do to try to push that label away between now and election day? look, i think it s just an economy election. and i think you see them trying to put together a coalition that gets them over the top. i think his floor in this race is about 47.5%. his ceiling is 51% of the vote. i think romney is slightly lower on both the floor and the ceiling. that s why you see him giving the speech he gave at barnard college. that s why you see him day after day targeting different parts of the democratic party s coalition. he wants to try to change the subject away from the economy, every day away from the serious issues. we re going to have so far ....