organisation says: there is a 66% chance that we will break the 1.5 degree temperature threshold for at least a year. there is a 98% chance of the warmest year on record before 2027. arctic heating will likely be three times higher than the global average. and the reason for these worrying predictions? temperatures being driven up by ongoing carbon emissions plus the likely onset of a naturally occurring el nino event which can trigger more extreme weather and climate events, including severe rainfall and drought, depending on the region. laurie goering is the climate change editor at the thomson reuters foundation. i asked her to explain the significance of these figures. i think the real message from this is that these climate change impacts are coming much faster than scientists had predicted. scientists are inherently conservative and what we are seeing is that a lot of different things from hate to sea level rise are probably going to happen a lot faster than we had
hello. welcome to bbc news. we start in northern italy and dramatic scenes after severe flooding has killed at least eight people with thousands being evacuated from their homes. this weekend s formula one, grand prix at imola has also now been cancelled. it comes, as a new report by the world meteorological organisation warned that global temperatures will reach record levels in the next five years. we ll have more on that in a moment. first let s get more on the situation in itlay. it s one of the european countries most affected by extreme weather in recent years the extreme flooding is in the emillia romana region. this is forli near bologna the mayor has said the city is on its knees devastated and in pain . divers have been recovering bodies hundreds of people have been trapped or stranded as rivers burst their banks. in towns nearby people are being rescued from their homes by helicopter. plucked from rooftops or the waters. in this area around hal
welcome to the programme. we start with the stark warning from the united nations that the next five years will almost certainly be the hottest since records began. they say it is now more likely than not that a key target to limit global warming to no more than 1.5 degrees will be breached with far reaching repercussions. let s break all this down for you. according to this report there is now a 66% chance that we will pass the 1.5 degrees threshold for at least a year. three years ago, scientists estimated there was less than a 20% chance of that happening. there is a 98% chance of seeing the warmest year on record before 2027. arctic heating will likely be three times higher than the global average. i have been speaking to the vice chair of the ipcc s working group, and she explained to me the scale of the issues the planet is facing. the roblem issues the planet is facing. the problem is issues the planet is facing. the problem is that issues the planet is facing. tue
organisation says: there is a 66% chance that we will break the 1.5 degree temperature threshold for at least a year. there is a 98% chance of the warmest year on record before 2027. arctic heating will likely be three times higher than the global average. and the reason for these worrying predictions? temperatures being driven up by ongoing carbon emissions plus the likely onset of a naturally occurring el nino event which can trigger more extreme weather and climate events, including severe rainfall and drought, depending on the region. laurie goering is the climate change editor at the thomson reuters foundation. i asked her to explain the significance of these figures. i think the real message from this is that these climate change impacts are coming much faster than scientists had predicted. scientists are inherently conservative and what we are seeing is that a lot of different things from hate to
three years ago, scientists had estimated there was less than a 20% chance of that happening. there is a 98% chance of seeing the warmest year on record before 2027. arctic heating will likely be three times higher than the global average. those are some of the key findings from the report. dr christopher hewitt is climate director of the world meteorological organisation climate the department responsible for this annual update. thank you forjoining us. that is a pretty bleak assessment, 66% chance that we will breach the ski threshold. that we will breach the ski threshold. , , ., , ., ~ threshold. yes, it is a bleak assessment, threshold. yes, it is a bleak assessment, and threshold. yes, it is a bleak assessment, and more - threshold. yes, it is a bleakl assessment, and more likely threshold. yes, it is a bleak - assessment, and more likely than not in the next five years we will breach that threshold. breach this key threshold. we have seen warming for a long time